One of my pet peeves is claims that imaging studies prove that we consciously make decisions after our brain has already made them. For example, Jerry Coyne describes has a blog post titled “Yet another experiment showing that conscious ‘decisions’ are made unconsciously, and in advance.” First, this isn’t another study showing this. There haven’t been any studies that have shown this. Second, there is no evidence that the things that are going on in advance in the brain before the decision are all unconscious.
He goes on to say:
In the last few years, neuroscience experiments have shown that some “conscious decisions” are actually made in the brain before the actor is conscious of them: brain-scanning techniques can predict not only when a binary decision will be made, but what it will be (with accuracy between 55-70%)—several seconds before the actor reports being conscious of having made a decision.
We cannot (currently) tell from fMRI data when the brain has made a decision. The particular study he focuses on is great for illustrating this point. From the abstract of the paper:
Here, we show that the outcome of a free decision to either add or subtract numbers can already be decoded from neural activity in medial prefrontal and parietal cortex 4 s before the participant reports they are consciously making their choice
“Decoded from neural activity”? No. What’s really going on there is they know when someone claims to have made a decision (in this case, to either add or subtract numbers), and they use fMRI data that preceded it to try and predict the outcome. They are able to do this, in some cases, with about 58% accuracy.
In other words, before a final decision is consciously made, there is stuff going on the brain that can (somewhat weakly) predict the outcome (e.g., like we are thinking about it and are leaning one way). Given that the brain is what is used to make the decision, it would be rather shocking if brain activity was not at least a little prognostic.
These studies aren’t strikes against free will or evidence of determinism (or evidence for or against compatibilism). They show what regions of the brain seem to be involved in the decision making, which could be quite useful, but nothing like the claims are being about them.